"With roughly 250 million people set to move into Chinese cities in the next decade or so, the pace of urban construction-including road, rail and water infrastructure, and cultural institutions, in addition to tall buildings-has outstripped any previous period in human history," the tall-buildings council said in a report. The full report will be released when the council holds its annual congress in China in September.
The skyscraper build-out comes as Chinese leaders grapple with the best way to construct cities and accommodate that swelling urban population. The National Development and Reform Commission is studying a plan to improve city planning by limiting sprawl, China Business News reported on Thursday.
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The planned Sky City skyscraper in central Changsha may become a symbol of the bursting property bubble as well as the skyscraper boom. Broad Group, an air-conditioner maker, once promised to erect the 838-meter building in less than a year-by April 2014. As yet, the site is sprouting only watermelons.
"China will get to the point where economic reality-whether that's on the level of a single developer, local government or the central government-will become a big factor that overtakes ambition," Wood said.
Still, Suzhou may find comfort in a 2011 study by three American university professors, Skyscraper Height and the Business Cycle, which found no support for the so-called Skyscraper Index-the theory that the most intense competition for the tallest towers occurs just before a business downturn.
There is no sign yet that ambitions have been crimped by a weaker property market or projections of slower economic growth. A plan announced last month by the United Kingdom firm Chetwoods Architects would take on Jiddah's Kingdom mega-skyscraper with a development in Wuhan featuring a pair of towers.
Wuhan is a transportation hub in central China in the midst of its own real-estate frenzy. Last month, ECA International, a consulting company, ranked the city Asia's 29th most expensive for expatriates, beating Mumbai and Kuala Lumpur. Wuhan is already planning a tower of more than 600 meters under construction by China's Greenland Group.
"Humanity has the ambition to do what it can't do; part of that is to build the tallest buildings," Wood said. "Many of the iconic towers now rising in China have lent world recognition to cities that relatively few Chinese-let alone Westerners-were previously aware of."