The following tables show economists' estimates for percentage changes in
China's consumer and producer prices and M2 money supply in January from a year
earlier.
China CPI Forecasts
--------------------------------
CPI
Firm
YoY%
--------------------------------
Median 2.6%
Average 2.5%
High
3.0%
Low 1.8%
Number of Forecasts
22
--------------------------------
ANZ Bank 2.8%
Bank of America
2.9%
Bank of China (Hong Kong) 2.6%
Bank of East Asia 2.5%
Capital
Economics 2.6%
CFC Seymour 2.8%
CIMB-GK Research 2.7%
Citic Securities
2.6%
Core Pacific-Yamaichi 2.5%
Deutsche Bank 2.5%
Forecast Ltd.
3.0%
Hang Seng Bank 1.9%
HSBC 2.5%
Industrial Bank 3.0%
ING Groep NV
2.5%
JPMorgan Chase 2.8%
Lehman Brothers 1.9%
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities
2.1%
Morgan Stanley 1.8%
Royal Bank of Scotland 2.9%
Standard Chartered
Bank 2.9%
Thomson IFR 2.2%
--------------------------------
China Money Supply Forecast
--------------------------------
M2
YoY%
--------------------------------
Median
16.5
Average 16.4
High 17.0
Low 15.0
Number of replies
21
---------------------------------
ANZ Bank 15.8
Bank of America
17.0
Bank of China (Hong Kong) 15.8
Bank of East Asia 16.7
Capital
Economics 16.5
CFC Seymour 16.2
CIMB-GK Research 16.5
Citic Securities
16.7
Core Pacific-Yamaichi 16.3
Deutsche Bank 15.0
Forecast Ltd.
15.5
Hang Seng Bank 16.5
SBC 16.7
Industrial Bank 17.0
ING Groep NV
16.1
JPMorgan Chase 16.2
Lehman Brothers 17.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities
16.4
Royal Bank of Scotland 17.0
Standard Chartered Bank 16.9
Thomson
IFR 16.2
--------------------------------
China PPI Forecasts
--------------------------------
PPI
Firm
YoY%
--------------------------------
Median 3.0%
Average 3.0%
High
3.6%
Low 2.0%
Number of Forecasts
18
--------------------------------
ANZ Bank 2.9%
Bank of America
3.0%
Bank of China (Hong Kong) 3.0%
Bank of East Asia 3.2%
Capital
Economics 3.2%
CFC Seymour 3.0%
CIMB-GK Research 2.9%
Citic Securities
3.0%
Core Pacific-Yamaichi 3.0%
Deutsche Bank 3.2%
Forecast Ltd.
2.0%
HSBC 3.2%
Industrial Bank 3.2%
ING Groep NV 3.0%
JPMorgan Chase
3.2%
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities 3.6%
Royal Bank of Scotland
3.0%
Standard Chartered Bank
3.2%
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