Right regal fuss as world wagers on royal baby

A photographer marks out a position in front of the door to the Lindo Wing of St Mary's Hospital, where Britain's Catherine, Duchess of Cambridge, is due to give birth in central London on Tuesday. Prince William and Kate's first child is officially due in mid-July, with the couple saying they have no idea of the sex of the baby who will be third in line to the British throne. Luke MacGregor / Reuters

Will it be a girl called Alexandra, or a boy called Wayne? No one outside Buckingham Palace knows but it has not stopped punters from around the world betting on Britain's royal baby.

Bookmakers say they expect that wagers on the arrival of Prince William and Catherine's first child will outstrip those for the couple's wedding in 2011, previously the biggest market for so-called novelty bets.

There is a right royal choice of odds ranging from the baby's sex, weight and hair color to even whether Kate will be "too posh to push" and have a caesarean.

"It's a global market," said Joe Crilly, a spokesman for British bookies William Hill, who added that the big money is on the baby's name.

Traditional names head the list, led by Alexandra and followed by Charlotte, Elizabeth, Diana and Victoria when it comes to girls' names, and George, James and Louis for boys.

Alexandra is Queen Elizabeth II's middle name, Charlotte is the middle name of Kate's sister Pippa and the name of King George III's wife, while Victoria would honor Britain's longest-serving monarch.

Unlikelier choices include Hashtag, the Twitter term on which Irish bookmaker Paddy Power took a bet at 500/1, and Wayne and Waynetta, after slobby characters in a British television comedy, at 250/1 and 500/1 respectively. Punters can also get odds of 5,000/1 on Psy, after the South Korean pop star, or North, the name of rapper Kanye West and Kim Kardashian's new baby.

"We are seeing a tug of war with a quite modern couple like William and Kate on one hand but they have a royal family to appease, 1,000 years of tradition and they don't want to upset the queen," said Rory Scott, a spokesman for Paddy Power.

Girls' names dominate the odds because punters seem convinced the royal baby will be a girl, after Kate reportedly nearly let it slip during a public appearance earlier this year.

Odds are normally equal for both genders but in this case the odds are nearly twice as long on a male for most bookies.

The most volatile topic is the date of the birth, with several betting companies slashing the odds on the first week of July instead of the expected date of around July 13.

That was partly because of reports that Kate may follow Princess Diana, who gave the media the slip by announcing a later than actual due date when she was pregnant with William in 1981, said Scott.

But bookies said they had not taken many bets on that topic.

Punters are however weighing into other apparently unpredictable matters.

The favorite for hair color is brown followed by blonde or black, with ginger hair like the new arrival's uncle Prince Harry generally the least favored.

Meanwhile William and Kate are both equally placed to be the one who holds the baby outside the hospital for the traditional photograph.

The bookmakers said that there was always the risk of an "insider bet" from members of the royal inner circle, with a couple of bets on names raising eyebrows in recent months.

But the betting companies said they were unlikely to close their books even if such bets came in.

"I don't think that would be very good - we have had some big bets but we will keep them open until the formal announcement," said Alex Donohue of Ladbrokes.

Overall, the market is huge.

"We thought the royal wedding last year was the biggest royal betting event but the royal baby will be bigger," said Donohue.

Scott said Paddy Power had taken 10,000 bets and expected takings to be a "good 30 percent up" on the wedding with turnover of $450,000.

Commonwealth countries and those with large numbers of British expatriates were particularly good for business, Crilly added.

While the figures are smaller than for big sporting events such as the Grand National where a single bookmaker can take 50 million pounds, the growing market reflects the fascination with the British royal family.

Veteran William Hill spokesman Graham Sharpe, who has worked for the company for 40 years, said the first time they had ever taken royal bets was on Charles and Diana's wedding and first child.

"Prior to that it was frowned upon, but as soon as Diana joined the royal family everything lightened up a bit. We thought it was time to test the waters as the waters broke, so to speak," he said.

Ironically, they then took a hit when a big bet came in a few days before the birth - on the name William.

Agence France-Presse

(China Daily 07/03/2013 page10)