UBS: No credit tightening yet in China

SHANGHAI - China's whole year new renminbi lending is likely to reach 9 trillion yuan ($1.5 trillion), while total social financing (TSF) may exceed 17 trillion yuan, UBS said in a note on Wednesday.

"No credit tightening yet," wrote Wang Tao, chief China economist at UBS.

China's new renminbi lending and total social financing in November both beat market expectations. New TSF stood at 1.23 trillion, 370 billion more than in October. UBS expected outstanding TSF to grow 18.5 percent in 2013.

"November's strong credit number suggests that the higher interest rates and bond yields of recent months have yet to constrain credit demand much, as feared by the market," UBS said. "A large segment of the market is still not very sensitive to higher rates".

The bank said the Chinese government would likely follow a relatively prudent monetary and credit policy stance, and expect TSF growth to slow to about 16 percent in 2014.

"Given the ongoing interest rate liberalization and financial deregulation processes, credit growth could again exceed the government's desired pace in 2014," UBS said.